Essay two · July 2026 · 17 min

The Indictment

The case against a six-hundred-billion-dollar industry that lost its only customer. Written by a guilty party.

By Akhilesh Majumdar

“My wallpaper and I are fighting a duel to the death. One or the other of us has to go.”

Oscar Wilde

said weeks before dying in a shabby Paris hotel room, 1900.
The wallpaper won.

It is 2:40 on a Sunday afternoon, and she is standing in her living room, losing an argument with a room that refuses to say what is wrong with it.

She has been standing there, on and off, for three years.

Keep her in view.

She is the plaintiff.

What follows is an indictment of a six-hundred-billion-dollar industry, and I am writing it from an unusual position: I am both the prosecutor and one of the defendants.

I have spent ten years inside this industry. I run one of the most-used products in one of its hottest segments. The evidence below includes my own confession, entered first, because a prosecutor who exempts himself is just a competitor with a grudge.

The charge is abandonment.

Not of a market segment.

Of the only customer the entire industry exists to serve: the person who has to live with the decision after everyone else has left.

The Charge

Start with the size of what was abandoned, because the numbers are the first exhibit and they do not whisper.

In 2024, Americans spent an estimated $603 billion on home remodeling, according to the National Association of Realtors, citing Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. Houzz’s 2025 national study puts median renovation spend at $20,000, the ninetieth percentile at $140,000, and finds that 84% of renovating homeowners paid from savings. (National Association of REALTORS®)

That is not entertainment money.

That is not moodboard money.

That is money people do not spend twice.

Now the other side of the table. In the same Houzz study, 90% of renovating homeowners hired a professional. Electricians, plumbers, painters, carpenters, roofers, contractors: everyone who executes got called.

But only 8% hired an interior designer.

The one professional whose job is the decision itself, before the money moves, was absent from ninety-two homes out of a hundred. (Houzz)

Do the arithmetic with me, in the open, where arithmetic belongs. Even granting that the 8% who hire designers run projects several times the median size, the overwhelming bulk of that $603 billion moves with nobody in the decision seat.

Call it half a trillion dollars a year of unadvised money, and you are being conservative in nobody’s favor.

Hold that against every other consequential spend in an ordinary life.

A $20,000 wedding gets a planner.

A $20,000 tax problem gets a CPA.

A $20,000 legal problem gets a lawyer.

A $20,000 renovation, paid from savings, gets a Pinterest board and a brother-in-law’s opinion.

We built an internet that can find her a sofa in four seconds and cannot tell her whether to buy it.

Everyone built for the people around the home. Nobody built for the people inside it.

That is the charge.

Now the evidence, in the order the industry produced it.

Exhibit A: The First Wave

Between 2013 and 2019, a generation of design-tech startups raised hundreds of millions of dollars to bring this industry online. They had real users, real love, and real Fortune 100 conversations.

By 2022, nearly all of them were dead.

Modsy alone raised more than $70 million, and in 2022 Business of Home reported it had discontinued design services and laid off most of its staff. TechCrunch later reported the company ceased operations entirely. (Business of Home)

I performed the full autopsy in essay one of this series. Two findings matter for this trial.

First: the demand was never fake. The love was real. The model was brittle.

Second, and this is the part that makes me a defendant: we were one of them.

I carry that wave’s scars, and its lesson.

The first wave proved the plaintiff exists.

The second wave, my wave, proved something worse: that you can reach her, delight her, and still fail her.

Exhibit B: My Confession

I have spent ten years building products for the home.

I don’t like most of what I’ve built.

That is a strange thing for a defendant to volunteer. Our product is one of the most-used products in its category. 2.3 million people found it and signed up, across 105 countries, without us spending a single dollar on marketing.

By every metric that gets founders applauded, it works.

And still, when I open it, I see a tool that hands people a pretty picture of a room.

For a while, I let myself believe that was enough.

The market didn’t.

In one early version, for every thousand activated users, six paid.

Six in a thousand.

Not six in a hundred.

Not one in fifteen.

Six in a thousand, for a product people begged their friends to try.

Loved like a hit.

Monetized like spam.

And before the court reaches for the standard explanations: it wasn’t price, we tested the range. It wasn’t UX, the flows were clean. It wasn’t awareness, we had the kind of virality startups trade limbs for.

When people love something and won’t pay for it, they are telling you something harder to hear: you solved the wrong problem beautifully.

So we rebuilt the experience around decisions.

Reliability instead of spectacle.

Guidance instead of a slot machine.

Respect for the real room, the real budget, the real user.

The number moved from six in a thousand to sixty-seven in a thousand.

Ten times, earned one honest improvement at a time.

Same market.

Same desire.

Different promise.

People will share what impresses them. They will only pay for what helps them decide.

The forensics kept confirming the verdict against us.

Our churn, which I misread for years as failure, was often project completion: people subscribed for a move or a room, finished, and left, exactly as Harvard’s data on movers helps explain, since a move compresses years of home spending into months.

The true failure was that when her next home moment arrived, our product had forgotten her completely.

Rooms, taste, budget, decisions: gone.

We had built a tool she visited, when her home deserved a relationship that remembers.

And our credit-based pricing, the industry standard, punished the one behavior that helps an anxious person most. We watched users hoard credits like ration cards, afraid to explore, when exploration is the only way an uncertain person discovers what she wants.

That is my testimony.

The court should know the other defendants behaved no better.

And no worse.

Exhibit C: The Rational Actors

Here is what makes this case strange: none of the remaining defendants did anything irrational.

Study the moves.

Matterport proved spatial truth has value. CoStar closed its acquisition in 2025 for roughly $1.6 billion. (HousingWire)

But Matterport’s customer holds a professional camera rig, not a mortgage and a marriage.

IKEA acquired Geomagical Labs in 2020 to bring 3D and AI into home furnishing. (Ingka Group)

A smart retail move.

But a retailer’s trust boundary is the catalog. Every answer, however dressed, ends in its own inventory.

Zillow acquired Virtual Staging AI in 2024 to help sellers, agents, and photographers stage listing images. (Zillow)

A smart listing-media move.

But a listing image is upstream of the life that happens inside the house, and the portal’s interest ends the day the deal closes.

Planner 5D says more than 100 million users have created with its planning platform. (Planner 5D)

A huge signal.

But ordinary people don’t want to become floorplan operators. They want the room to become intelligible.

Professional capture built for professionals.

Retail visualization built for retail.

Listing media built for listings.

Planning tools built for planners.

AI image tools, my own included, built for spectacle.

Every player rational.

Every rationality pointing away from her.

That is what the prosecution wants the jury to sit with: there is no villain in this case.

There is only an empty chair where her advocate should have been sitting, and an entire industry stepping politely around it for a hundred years.

Which is why the plaintiff should speak for herself.

The Plaintiff Takes the Stand

Here is what I know about the person we build for.

Not from a persona document.

From ten years of watching.

She is standing in her living room on a Sunday afternoon, and something about the room is wrong, and she cannot name it.

She has forty screenshots on her phone. Pinterest boards she’s embarrassed by. A contractor’s number she hasn’t called because she doesn’t know what she’d even ask for.

And a set of questions running underneath all of it that she has never said out loud to anyone:

Will this look stupid if I actually do it?

Can we afford this? Really?

Will he even agree?

Will the sofa fit, or will I be the person who has to send back a sofa?

Will I regret this after spending money we don’t spend twice?

And underneath all of those, the one that hurts: why does everyone else seem to have taste, or clarity, or money that I don’t have?

I want to be very clear about something.

She does not have a design problem.

She has a confidence problem that the design industry created and then charged admission to solve.

For a hundred years we treated design as a luxury. If you had money, vocabulary, and access, you got an expert in your corner. If you didn’t, you got guesswork.

Not because your home mattered less.

Because nobody ever built the help for you.

The people who need design the most are the ones least able to buy it.

That is not a market failure.

That is the market.

And she never needed design as decoration. She needed it as support. As clarity. As someone in her corner who understands her actual room, her actual money, her actual family, and doesn’t make her feel stupid for asking.

Nobody built that person a product.

Including me.

So far.

The Defense

Every industry on trial deserves its defense, and this one has a real one.

The defense is impossibility.

Because the correct input was never a laser scanner.

Never a perfect floorplan.

Never a twenty-minute guided capture.

Never a blank canvas where she has to draw her own room like a junior architect.

The correct input was one ordinary photo.

A photo is the one thing every human on earth already has of their home. That had to be the input. Everything else was engineering our way back to it.

And one ordinary photo is a terrible technical object.

It hides scale. It hides depth. It hides corners. It lies with perspective. It crops the wall you need, buries furniture in shadow, shows the room but never the space behind the camera. It carries every ambiguity that makes a real home real.

So the industry took the exits, and the court has seen where each exit leads.

Generate only an image, and you can hallucinate past the problem: spectacle, six in a thousand.

Demand a scan, and you’ve lost the ordinary person: professional capture, professional customer.

Demand a floorplan, and you’ve lost the messy house: a hundred million planners, and she still can’t name what’s wrong with her living room.

Demand modeling skill, and you’ve lost the Sunday afternoon entirely.

Decision-grade required the one thing with no exit: a room that is visually believable, spatially true, dimensionally useful, editable, and fast enough that anxiety doesn’t harden into avoidance.

Not a render.

A room you can reason with.

For a decade, the defense held.

It was a fair defense.

The product she needed was not merely unbuilt. It was unbuildable.

This year, it collapsed.

I know, because I collapsed it.

Which obliges me to explain, under oath, why it took me ten years to do six weeks of work.

The Defense Collapses

Here is the part that embarrasses me.

For roughly five years, I spent about 3% of my time on real R&D.

The rest went into operations, sales, finance, fundraising, enterprise partnerships, hiring, pricing, churn, decks, calls: the thousand things that make a company real and slowly steal the founder from the work only the founder can do.

This is not a heroic founder story.

It is a warning label.

Years before generative AI made automated design fashionable, I had taught myself software and written 180,000 lines of code for a design engine that a Fortune 100 retailer piloted and presented at board level.

We had been circling this problem for a decade, and the person most equipped to attack the wall was busy keeping the company alive.

My cofounder’s years went the same way in her lane: the designer who could change a family’s Sunday was scaling an eighty-person operation.

Then two slow investments matured at once.

We had spent two years making the company no longer need us hourly: real culture, real coaches, real empowerment, AI woven into everyone’s work.

For the first time since founding, the company gave us room to return to the work only we could do.

And AI agents crossed the line where they can be treated as peer engineers: an R&D team you can summon, if you bring enough scar tissue to know what matters and what is noise.

I went back into the lab.

In weeks, working essentially alone alongside those agents, I built it: one ordinary room photo, cluttered, badly lit, phone-quality, and seconds later a photorealistic, metric-accurate, walkable 3D room.

A space that supports measuring, moving, testing, furnishing, budgeting, deciding.

I won’t explain the recipe, and not only to keep it from competitors. The recipe was never the point.

The result is the point.

Then I tested the result against the category’s established products, built by teams of hundreds over fifteen-plus years, on identical real inputs, including ten real floorplans.

The gap was not close.

I know exactly how that sounds coming from a defendant.

So the prosecution will not ask the jury for trust.

In the coming weeks we publish the evidence: unedited side-by-side comparisons, same inputs, named products, visible clock. Real cluttered rooms. Real floorplans. Real failures where they happen, real wins where they happen.

I am asking for the harshest jury I can find.

And you’re reading this, so consider yourself empaneled.

But a true room is only evidence.

It is not yet justice.

The truth half makes the case.

It doesn’t remedy it.

The Other Half of the Remedy

While I was in the lab making rooms true, my cofounder was solving the half I couldn’t.

Shital has spent fifteen years inside real interior design, with real clients, real budgets, and real marriages negotiating over real sofas.

And she came back from studying why Airbnb won with a conclusion I’d have missed: in categories this emotional, the interface is not packaging around the product.

The interface is the trust.

A trip ends.

A home keeps acting on you every morning.

If Airbnb had to make travel feel safe enough to choose, we have to make the home feel safe enough to decide.

Then she built it, and handed me a prototype.

I did what any skeptic does: I tried to break it.

I typed the vaguest, most human thing a person can say about her home.

“The room feels off.”

Every AI tool I have ever tested answers that sentence with a render.

Hers answered with a designer: that feeling usually comes from light, layout, clutter, or colour, and in your photo my instinct says the room is fighting itself, dark corners and a rug that’s too small. Want me to show you a fix for just those two things?

I sat with that for a while.

Because that is not software behavior.

That is what it feels like when someone is in your corner.

It runs all the way down.

The design it proposed kept my sofa, and told me so, because for most families the sofa is not furniture. It is history.

The budget came back in real line items, under the target, before I could fall in love with something I couldn’t afford.

And every decision got written down with its reason: keep the existing sofa, sentimental, good condition, palette built around it.

A home that remembers why.

Here is what I finally understood, holding her prototype next to my pipeline.

Decision-grade was never one thing.

It has two halves.

The room has to be true: real dimensions, real geometry, a space you can measure and walk.

And the room has to be safe: a relationship calm enough that an anxious family can actually decide inside it.

I had been building the truth.

She had been building the trust.

Truth without trust is a CAD tool. Trust without truth is a toy. The product is the marriage of the two.

People sometimes ask what my edge is. They expect me to say the technology, or the ten years of domain scars.

The honest answer is that half of my edge has a name, and I didn’t build it.

I chose it, eleven and a half years ago, when we became partners.

Why the Prosecutor Won’t Recuse

A fair question before the remedy: why is a defendant prosecuting his own industry?

Most people think they are just living in a house.

But the house is also living inside them.

I know what that means in a way I did not learn from a market map.

I’m not going to tell you the story of how I learned it. The details are mine, and they’re staying mine.

But I will tell you what it left me with: an inability to treat this problem as a market.

A home is not a container.

It is an environment that keeps voting on the person inside it.

It changes mood before anyone calls it mood. It changes family conversation before anyone calls it layout. It changes what people avoid, what they repeat, where they gather, where they retreat, how much dignity they feel, how much agency they believe they have.

A child absorbs a home as normal years before she can question it.

A home can fragment a family without anyone noticing.

A home can also hold a family together.

That is why I won’t recuse myself.

I am a party to this case in every sense that matters, and democratizing design cannot mean handing ordinary people cheaper fantasy.

It has to mean giving them agency over the space that is already acting on them.

The Remedy

I want a woman to stand in her living room on a Sunday afternoon, type “the room feels off,” and not be punished for being vague.

I want the product to understand the room before it decorates it.

I want it to say: this is a light problem, not a taste problem.

I want it to say: keep the sofa, because not everything old is clutter.

I want it to say: do this under $2,500, do that later, don’t waste money there.

I want the spouse to enter the room without hijacking the room.

I want the contractor to receive a brief, not a confused call.

I want the retailer to recommend products that fit her room, not products that merely look good on a white background.

I want the listing to become the first page of the life a family might live there, not the last page of an agent’s marketing workflow.

I want every room to remember its decisions.

I want every home to become a living object instead of a folder of forgotten renders.

The old internet gave people inspiration.

The next internet has to give them confidence.

That is the category.

Not AI interior design.

Not virtual staging.

Not a room generator.

Home decision infrastructure: a persistent, spatially true, visually credible, product-grounded, budget-aware, collaborative layer that helps people decide what to change, buy, repair, furnish, renovate, list, or live with.

That is the remedy we are building.

And in a normal trial, sentencing waits for the verdict.

I’m not waiting.

The Sentence

Inside our company we have a phrase: up or out.

People usually assume it’s something I impose on the team.

It isn’t.

It’s something the mission imposes on all of us, and I want to spell out what it means, because anyone who joins us, works with us, funds us, or advises us deserves to know what they’re walking into.

It means this: either we build something worthy of the emotional weight of a home, or we stop pretending.

There is no comfortable middle where we run a decent AI design tool, collect subscriptions, and tell ourselves the mission is alive.

A home is where a child’s sense of normal gets formed.

You don’t get to serve that with a toy and call it democratizing design.

So the standard binds me first.

If I’m the ceiling, I go work for whoever can build this better.

It binds Shital the same way, and she’d say it more bluntly than I just did.

It binds our investors: we are not the company to back if what you want is a tidy multiple on an AI feature.

And it binds our advisers: if the advice optimizes for comfort over the mission, we’ll part as friends.

I know how this reads in an industry that celebrates optionality.

We’re choosing the opposite.

Not because burning boats is romantic, but because the plaintiff has no optionality.

She has one home, one budget, one family, one shot at getting the room right.

The least we can do is build like it.

Up or out.

All of us.

Me first.

To the Jury

You were empaneled the moment you started reading, so here are your instructions.

If you are a homeowner: you’re not a spectator in this trial, you’re the plaintiff. Hold us to the decision, not the image. Don’t be impressed by a beautiful room unless it helps you know what to do next. And when the doors open, I want your hardest room.

If you are a retailer: the catalog is no longer enough. The future isn’t product search. It’s product confidence inside the customer’s real room.

If you are a real estate enterprise: the listing is not the end of your job. It’s the moment a family starts imagining its next life, and that moment should not stop at photos.

If you are a designer, contractor, or home professional: the remedy doesn’t replace expertise. It routes millions of people toward better decisions before fear and bad shortcuts take over, and hands you clients who finally know what they want.

If you deploy capital, advise, or want to join: read the sentence above once more before you call. We are not running a feature race. We are building the missing decision layer for the most emotionally important physical category in the world.

Because the point was never better rooms.

The point is better conditions for people to live inside their own lives.

P.S. This series is called Not in a Nutshell for a reason. Some truths deserve more than a scroll. Read Essay one, The Silent Infrastructure, here on notinanutshell.com. Judge harshly.